Authur Hayes, the co-founder and former Chief Executive Officer (CEO) of cryptocurrency exchange and trading platform, BitMEX has released another blog post, predicting a major fire sale and a potential price decline for Bitcoin, the world’s largest cryptocurrency.
Bitcoin Fire Sale Imminent
In his blog post, Hayes provided a detailed analysis, explaining his perspectives on how the Bitcoin halving event would adversely affect the price of the cryptocurrency.
The Bitcoin halving is an occurrence that takes place every four years which reduces Bitcoin miner block rewards by half. This, in turn, decreases the amount of Bitcoin created and leads to an increase in the cryptocurrency’s value.
While most analysts in the crypto market anticipate a bullish rally for Bitcoin and other altcoins during the halving event, Hayes holds a more contradictory view, suggesting that the halving period could instead initiate a more bearish action than expected.
Hayes has acknowledged that the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies are likely to pump during the halving period, at least in the medium term. However, the BitMEX co-founder has also predicted that the price action of Bitcoin both before and after the halving event could potentially turn negative.
He revealed that because the 2024 Bitcoin halving coincides with a period of diminished liquidity in the United States Dollar (USD), it could potentially ignite a “raging fire sale for crypto assets.” The crypto founder also foresees the price of Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies plummeting around this time.
As a result, Hayes has advised the broader crypto community to refrain from trading cryptocurrencies during this period. He emphasized that when the majority of the market participants agree on a specific outcome, such as a rally induced by the Bitcoin halving, the market tends to move in the opposite direction.
Despite his captivating predictions, Hayes conceded that the crypto market could defy his bearish forecasts, essentially recognizing the speculative nature of his prediction.
Hayes Says April Is The Best Time To Short Sell
In his blog post, Hayes unveiled that the period from April 15 to May 1, 2024, would be precarious for risky assets in the financial sector. This is attributed to tax payments draining liquidity from the system and Quantitative Tightening (QT) accelerating during this timeframe.
The crypto founder has suggested that this period might potentially present a prime short position for traders, indicating that April could be the ideal month for short selling. He predicts that after May 1, the market will revert to its “regular programming.”
BTC price above $70,000 | Source: BTCUSD on Tradingview.com
Featured image from CNBC, chart from Tradingview.com
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